Cilj BDP-a 'pragmatičan, ostvariv' – China Daily

Analitičari kažu da će stabilan razvoj pomoći u ublažavanju globalnih ekonomskih pritisaka

China has set its GDP growth target at around 5 percent for this year, which analysts said is “pragmatic” and “achievable”.

Prava brojka bi se mogla pokazati čak i većom, rekli su, sugerirajući da zemlja implementira ciljanije makroekonomske politike kako bi podstakla potrošnju i spriječila visoku inflaciju, kako bi se podstakao stabilan rast.

They also said China’s stable growth is set to help relieve global growth pressures as developed economies risk falling into recession while suffering from high inflation.

The growth target was revealed in the Government Work Report, which Premier Li Keqiang delivered at the opening meeting of the first session of the 14th National People’s Congress in Beijing on Sunday.

Sastanku je prisustvovao predsjednik Xi Jinping, koji je ujedno i generalni sekretar Centralnog komiteta Komunističke partije Kine i predsjedavajući Centralne vojne komisije.

U izvještaju, koji je podnesen najvišem zakonodavnom tijelu na razmatranje, sugerirano je da Kina nastoji ubrzati svoju modernizaciju, promovirati visokokvalitetni razvoj, bolje uravnotežiti prevenciju COVID-19 i društveno-ekonomski razvoj, sveobuhvatno produbiti reforme i otvaranje te snažno povećati povjerenje na tržištu.

Kina će pojačati intenzitet i efikasnost proaktivne fiskalne politike i provoditi razboritu monetarnu politiku na ciljani način, navodi se u Izvještaju o radu vlade.

Osim što je predložio cilj rasta BDP-a za ovu godinu, u izvještaju je također povećan predviđeni odnos deficita i BDP-a na 3 posto i ciljana stopa inflacije od oko 3 posto.

Zemlja će također imati za cilj stvaranje oko 12 miliona radnih mjesta u urbanim područjima ove godine i postavila je cilj od oko 5,5 posto za anketiranu stopu nezaposlenosti u urbanim područjima.

Kina će također nastaviti podsticati i podržavati razvoj privatnog sektora i pojačavati napore za privlačenje stranih investicija, navodi se u izvještaju.

“The GDP target is in line with the principle of 'seeking progress while ensuring stable development’,” said Bai Jingming, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences. “It is achievable and has left room for (coping with possible) risks.”

Compared with last year’s GDP growth of 3 percent, this year’s target is not high, given the strong rebound of consumption and initial recovery of investment after the country further optimized its COVID-19 response policy in January, Bai said.

“China’s growth target for this year is very pragmatic and will help consolidate the country’s economic fundamentals,” said Raymond Zhu, president of the East and Central China Committee of CPA Australia, a major accounting body.

Zhou Maohua, a macroeconomic analyst at China Everbright Bank, said: “The target is quite solid, because some market expectations have it at above 6 percent. China is capable of achieving it.”

Ekonomisti sugerišu da, s obzirom na brojne izazove s kojima se suočava Kina, poput ekonomskog pada i visoke inflacije u razvijenom svijetu, zemlja treba da implementira ciljane makroekonomske politike kako bi osigurala stabilan rast.

“More efforts should be made to support, say, small and micro enterprises, promote private sectors to raise people’s income and boost their confidence, and support the foreign trade sectors, given the possibility of slower global growth,” said Zhou from China Everbright Bank.

Zhang Yansheng, chief researcher at the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, said, “China needs to promote high-quality foreign trade development and improve the business environment, and the focus should be the negative list for the services industry.”

S obzirom na očekivani slab globalni rast ove godine, veoma je važno da Kina stimuliše domaću potražnju, rekao je.

Nouriel Roubini, profesor ekonomije na Univerzitetu u New Yorku, prošle sedmice je izjavio da bi svjetska ekonomija mogla patiti od visoke inflacije, rastućih kamatnih stopa i ekonomske recesije, te je predvidio da bi glavne razvijene ekonomije mogle pasti u recesiju.

Against the backdrop of possible recession in developed economies, China’s solid growth after optimizing COVID-19 policy this year will benefit the rest of the world, analysts said.

“The reintegration of the (world’s) second-largest economy into the world is bound to have a positive effect on global growth,” John Edwards, the UK trade commissioner for China, said in an interview with China Daily’s website.

Zhou Lanxu je doprinio ovoj priči.

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