Cilj BDP 'pragmatičen in dosegljiv' – China Daily

Analitiki pravijo, da bo stabilen razvoj pomagal ublažiti svetovne gospodarske pritiske

China has set its GDP growth target at around 5 percent for this year, which analysts said is “pragmatic” and “achievable”.

Dejanska številka bi se lahko izkazala za še višjo, so dejali, in predlagali, da država izvaja bolj ciljno usmerjene makroekonomske politike za povečanje potrošnje in preprečevanje visoke inflacije, da bi spodbudila stabilno rast.

They also said China’s stable growth is set to help relieve global growth pressures as developed economies risk falling into recession while suffering from high inflation.

The growth target was revealed in the Government Work Report, which Premier Li Keqiang delivered at the opening meeting of the first session of the 14th National People’s Congress in Beijing on Sunday.

Srečanja se je udeležil predsednik Xi Jinping, ki je tudi generalni sekretar Centralnega komiteja Komunistične partije Kitajske in predsednik Centralne vojaške komisije.

Poročilo, ki je bilo predloženo v obravnavo najvišjemu zakonodajnemu telesu, predlaga, da si Kitajska prizadeva za napredek pri modernizaciji, spodbuja visokokakovosten razvoj, boljše ravnovesje med preprečevanjem COVID-19 in socialnim ter gospodarskim razvojem, celovito poglobi reforme in odpiranje ter odločno okrepi zaupanje v trg.

Kitajska bo okrepila intenzivnost in učinkovitost proaktivne fiskalne politike ter ciljno usmerjeno izvajala preudarno denarno politiko, je zapisano v poročilu o delu vlade.

Poročilo poleg predlagane ciljne rasti BDP za letos zviša tudi predvideno razmerje med primanjkljajem in BDP na 3 odstotke in ciljno stopnjo inflacije okoli 3 odstotkov.

Država si bo letos prizadevala ustvariti tudi približno 12 milijonov delovnih mest v mestih in si je zadala cilj približno 5,5-odstotne stopnje brezposelnosti v mestih.

Kitajska bo še naprej spodbujala in podpirala razvoj zasebnega sektorja ter okrepila prizadevanja za privabljanje tujih naložb, piše v poročilu.

“The GDP target is in line with the principle of 'seeking progress while ensuring stable development’,” said Bai Jingming, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences. “It is achievable and has left room for (coping with possible) risks.”

Compared with last year’s GDP growth of 3 percent, this year’s target is not high, given the strong rebound of consumption and initial recovery of investment after the country further optimized its COVID-19 response policy in January, Bai said.

“China’s growth target for this year is very pragmatic and will help consolidate the country’s economic fundamentals,” said Raymond Zhu, president of the East and Central China Committee of CPA Australia, a major accounting body.

Zhou Maohua, a macroeconomic analyst at China Everbright Bank, said: “The target is quite solid, because some market expectations have it at above 6 percent. China is capable of achieving it.”

Ekonomisti so menili, da mora Kitajska glede na številne izzive, s katerimi se sooča, kot sta gospodarski upad in visoka inflacija v razvitem svetu, izvajati ciljno usmerjene makroekonomske politike za zagotovitev stabilne rasti.

“More efforts should be made to support, say, small and micro enterprises, promote private sectors to raise people’s income and boost their confidence, and support the foreign trade sectors, given the possibility of slower global growth,” said Zhou from China Everbright Bank.

Zhang Yansheng, chief researcher at the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, said, “China needs to promote high-quality foreign trade development and improve the business environment, and the focus should be the negative list for the services industry.”

Glede na pričakovano šibko svetovno rast letos je zelo pomembno tudi, da Kitajska spodbudi domače povpraševanje, je dejal.

Nouriel Roubini, profesor ekonomije na Univerzi v New Yorku, je prejšnji teden dejal, da bi svetovno gospodarstvo lahko utrpelo težave zaradi visoke inflacije, naraščajočih obrestnih mer in gospodarske recesije, ter napovedal, da bi lahko glavna razvita gospodarstva zapadla v recesijo.

Against the backdrop of possible recession in developed economies, China’s solid growth after optimizing COVID-19 policy this year will benefit the rest of the world, analysts said.

“The reintegration of the (world’s) second-largest economy into the world is bound to have a positive effect on global growth,” John Edwards, the UK trade commissioner for China, said in an interview with China Daily’s website.

Zhou Lanxu je prispeval k tej zgodbi.

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